There is value in the single group thesis I referred to in my last brief, however, it is underpinned by luck rather than skill. First round analysis must think of the opponent as brilliant. Second round can allow for luck. Here’s the second round analysis:
After using the nautical attack vector, the group attacked a series of targets using automatic weapons and grenades before making their way to the hotel in hijacked vehicles. Along the way they managed to murder the head of the Anti Terror Squad, purely by luck, and then split up to the hotel, the hospital, and the Nariman house. In essence, a well planned coordinated attack that collapsed into a killing spree.
In that case, Mumbai just avoided the nightmare scenario (where this was a smokescreen attack for something worse). This attack ends with the last terrorist of this particular group.
UPDATE: Note the close proximity of Nariman Bhavan to the waterfront. The single group thesis rings even more true if they were routed here to wait for the a nautical exit route, but the Navy acted too quickly for that to occur. (The initial choosing of the nautical attack vector has better logic that way.)









[...] Naxalite Rage After using the nautical attack vector, the group attacked a series of targets using automatic weapons and grenades before making their way to the hotel in hijacked vehicles. Along the way they managed to murder the head of the Anti Terror Squad, purely by luck, and then split up to the hotel, the hospital, and the Nariman house. In essence, a well planned coordinated attack that collapsed into a killing spree. [...]
[...] Submitted By: The Glittering Eye – Naxalite Rage – Second Round Analysis [...]
[...] Third place with 1 1/3 point – (T*) – Naxalite Rage – Second Round Analysis [...]